MARKET SAVANT

PRE-MARKET BRIEFING · 2026-07-05 · context & synthesis, not a signal

MIXED / NEUTRAL
RANGEBOUND — ALL CHOP · no scheduled index catalyst
3/3 boards CHOP · 0/3 trending
The Setup
NQ (ATR 52.39, CHOP): between 29522.5 and 29922.5, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch, with the EMA cluster at 29852.32, 29886.82 and 29907.63 bracketing PDC 29903.75 inside the range. Acceptance above the ON high 29922.5 puts PDH 29956 in question above, with the 30000 magnet as resistance beyond; rejection at 29922.5 leaves it as resistance, with 29750 inside the range and PDL 29522.5 below as support. Acceptance below 29522.5 puts the 29500 and 29250 magnets in question below. ES (ATR 7.57, CHOP): the ON range and the prior-day range share the same edges — 7527.25 and 7565.25 — so the map is compressed. Between 7527.25 and 7565.25, rangebound, with the EMAs stacked at 7554.79, 7550.09 and 7541.53 beneath PDC 7557.25. Acceptance above 7565.25 leaves it as support, with the 7750 magnet as resistance above; rejection at 7565.25 leaves it as resistance, with 7527.25 below as support. Acceptance below 7527.25 puts the 7500 magnet in question below. GC (ATR 12.4, CHOP): between 4136 and 4208.5, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch, with PDC 4186.9 and the shorter EMAs at 4183.43 and 4172.49 in the upper half of the range. Acceptance above 4208.5 puts the 4250 magnet in question above; rejection at 4208.5 leaves it as resistance, with 4136 below as support. Acceptance below 4136 puts the slow EMA at 4133.93 in question below, and a reclaim that holds above 4136 leaves it as support.
NQ CHOP upper third of range
Overnight range 29522.529922.5
PDH29956
PDL29522.5
Prior close29903.8
ATR52.39
EMA929886.8EMA2029852.3EMA5029907.6
OPTIONS / POSITIONING
Exp. move (QQQ)± 8.98 · 1.26%
Exp. move 1w± 21.43 · 3.01%
Net GEX (est.)$348m · net long gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall720
Put gamma wall720
Max pain725
P/C (OI)1.672
P/C (vol)0.9334
Heaviest call OI760 · 729 · 740 · 730
Heaviest put OI560 · 570 · 690 · 695
Retail GEX estimate from QQQ ETF options as a proxy for NQ; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; QQQ ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS
  1. Acceptance above ON high 29922.5 puts PDH 29956 in question above.
  2. Rejection at 29922.5 leaves it as resistance, with 29522.5 and PDL 29522.5 below as support.
  3. Acceptance below ON low 29522.5 puts PDL 29522.5 in question below.
  4. Between 29522.5 and 29922.5, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
ES CHOP above EMA stack upper third of range
Overnight range 7527.257565.25
PDH7565.25
PDL7527.25
Prior close7557.25
ATR7.57
EMA97554.79EMA207550.09EMA507541.53
OPTIONS / POSITIONING
Exp. move (SPY)± 4.41 · 0.59%
Exp. move 1w± 10.65 · 1.43%
Gamma flip623.459
Net GEX (est.)$-266m · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall750
Put gamma wall746
Max pain743
P/C (OI)1.5393
P/C (vol)0.9429
Heaviest call OI750 · 760 · 773 · 755
Heaviest put OI600 · 680 · 722 · 735
Retail GEX estimate from SPY ETF options as a proxy for ES; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; SPY ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS
  1. Acceptance above ON high 7565.25 puts PDH 7565.25 in question above.
  2. Rejection at 7565.25 leaves it as resistance, with 7527.25 and PDL 7527.25 below as support.
  3. Acceptance below ON low 7527.25 puts PDL 7527.25 in question below.
  4. Between 7527.25 and 7565.25, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
GC CHOP above EMA stack upper third of range
Overnight range 41364208.5
PDH4208.5
PDL4136
Prior close4186.9
ATR12.4
EMA94183.43EMA204172.49EMA504133.93
OPTIONS / POSITIONING
Exp. move (GLD)± 5.745 · 1.52%
Exp. move 1w± 11.45 · 3.03%
Gamma flip275.088
Net GEX (est.)$-16m · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall380
Put gamma wall370
Max pain371
P/C (OI)1.0234
P/C (vol)0.3425
Heaviest call OI400 · 390 · 500 · 380
Heaviest put OI350 · 370 · 345 · 355
Retail GEX estimate from GLD ETF options as a proxy for GC; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; GLD ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS
  1. Acceptance above ON high 4208.5 puts PDH 4208.5 in question above.
  2. Rejection at 4208.5 leaves it as resistance, with 4136 and PDL 4136 below as support.
  3. Acceptance below ON low 4136 puts PDL 4136 in question below.
  4. Between 4136 and 4208.5, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.

Congressional Trading

398 disclosures · 50d
STOCK Act disclosures · House, Senate as of 2026-07-05 · last 50 days
Net flow (est.) -$1.84M
net selling (est.)
Purchases 224
$8.68M est.
Sales 173
$10.51M est.
Index-relevant net -$267K
9 buys · 12 sells

Top tickers by disclosures

LPLA 6 filings · 6B/0S $48K
T 5 filings · 4B/1S $67K
HUBB 5 filings · 5B/0S $47K
TDG 5 filings · 5B/0S $40K
AAPL 5 filings · 3B/2S $33K
BWXT 4 filings · 4B/0S $81K
BIIB 4 filings · 4B/0S $74K
AMD 4 filings · 4B/0S $32K

Recent notable disclosures

Sheldon Whitehouse · SALE NVDA
$100,001 - $250,000 · Senate · disc. 2026-06-02
Sheldon Whitehouse · SALE NVDA
$100,001 - $250,000 · Senate · disc. 2026-06-02
Tim Moore · PURCHASE T
$50,001 - $100,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-04
Daniel Meuser · PURCHASE SPCX
$15,001 - $50,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-16
Tim Moore · SALE T
$15,001 - $50,000 · House · disc. 2026-05-21
Sheldon Whitehouse · SALE ORCL
$15,001 - $50,000 · Senate · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer · SALE ABBV
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer · PURCHASE AMD
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer · PURCHASE ADI
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer · PURCHASE FN
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Parsed STOCK Act disclosures (House + Senate), House, Senate chamber(s) with data in the last 50d. Disclosures LAG the actual trade by up to ~45 days (reporting window) — this is a map of what was FILED, not live positioning. Amount ranges are DISCLOSURE BUCKETS; all notional figures are midpoint ESTIMATES, not exact dollars. Descriptive only — no directional inference.

Catalyst Timeline

0 windows
(nothing scheduled)

Material Filings

  • NVDA 8-K (items 5.02) — filed Jul 02
  • AMZN: 1 Form-4 insider filing(s)
  • GOOGL: 1 Form-4 insider filing(s)
  • MSFT: 1 Form-4 insider filing(s)

Overnight Digest

  • The First Half of 2026 Is Over. These 2 Spectacular Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Can Soar in the Second Half. [Yahoo]
  • Petco (WOOF) is One of the Best Value Penny Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds [Yahoo]
  • Galiano Gold (GAU): Best Value Penny Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds [Yahoo]
  • Here is Why Yext (YEXT) is One of the Best Value Penny Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds [Yahoo]
  • Is N-able (NABL) One of the Best Value Penny Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds? [Yahoo]

Sentiment Read

Quiet, context-light mood. The headline tape is filler — mid-year retrospectives and penny-stock listicles rather than hard catalysts — and the filing flow is routine: an NVDA officer-change disclosure plus scattered insider forms at the large tech names, none of it market-moving on its face. The macro flags read calm, with a positively sloped curve and loose financial conditions. Each instrument on the sheet is in a CHOP regime with its prior-day close in the upper third of the prior-day range and the overnight session holding inside those extremes, so the character of the morning is rotational and level-driven: the levels, not the stories, are the information until fresh news arrives.