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MARKET SAVANT
PRE-MARKET BRIEFING · 2026-07-13 · context & synthesis, not a signal
MIXED / NEUTRAL
RANGEBOUND — ALL CHOP · no scheduled index catalyst
3/3 boards CHOP · 0/3 trending
The Setup
NQ acceptance above the overnight high 30075 puts PDH 30076.75 in question above, with the 30250 magnet as the next reference beyond it; rejection at 30075 leaves it as resistance, with the 30000 magnet inside the range and 29750, 29716.25, and PDL 29677.5 below as support. Acceptance below the overnight low 29716.25 puts PDL 29677.5 in question below. Between 29716.25 and 30075, rangebound — those extremes and the 30000 magnet are the edges to watch, with PDC 30069 as the reference for whether prior-day value holds. ES: overnight high and PDH coincide at 7628.75 — acceptance above 7628.75 puts the 7750 magnet in question above; rejection at 7628.75 leaves it as resistance, with 7568.5 and PDL 7552.25 below as support and PDC 7626 as the value reference just beneath it. Acceptance below the overnight low 7568.5 puts PDL 7552.25 in question below. Between 7568.5 and 7628.75, rangebound. GC: overnight high and PDH coincide at 4144.8 — acceptance above 4144.8 puts the 4250 magnet in question above; rejection at 4144.8 leaves it as resistance, with 4103 and PDL 4081.3 below as support and the flat EMA cluster near 4116.8 as the middle of the range. Acceptance below the overnight low 4103 puts PDL 4081.3 in question below. Between 4103 and 4144.8, rangebound — those extremes are the edges to watch, with PDC 4128.6 as the reference for whether prior-day value holds.
NQ
CHOP
above EMA stack
upper third of range
Overnight range
29716.2 — 30075
PDH30076.8
PDL29677.5
Prior close30069
ATR105.7
EMA929985.3EMA2029920.1EMA5029800.3
OPTIONS / POSITIONING ▸
Exp. move (QQQ)± 6.495 · 0.90%
Exp. move 1w± 17.25 · 2.38%
Gamma flip698.245
Net GEX (est.)$-86m · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall722
Put gamma wall722
Max pain720
P/C (OI)2.378
P/C (vol)1.0872
Heaviest call OI722 · 750 · 720 · 725
Heaviest put OI495 · 685 · 560 · 710
Retail GEX estimate from QQQ ETF options as a proxy for NQ; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; QQQ ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS ▸
- Acceptance above ON high 30075 puts PDH 30076.75 in question above.
- Rejection at 30075 leaves it as resistance, with 29716.25 and PDL 29677.5 below as support.
- Acceptance below ON low 29716.25 puts PDL 29677.5 in question below.
- Between 29716.25 and 30075, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
ES
CHOP
above EMA stack
upper third of range
Overnight range
7568.5 — 7628.75
PDH7628.75
PDL7552.25
Prior close7626
ATR16.14
EMA97609.56EMA207596.42EMA507576.92
OPTIONS / POSITIONING ▸
Exp. move (SPY)± 3.275 · 0.43%
Exp. move 1w± 9.02 · 1.19%
Gamma flip589.737
Net GEX (est.)$-1.39bn · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall758
Put gamma wall750
Max pain750
P/C (OI)0.6184
P/C (vol)1.0972
Heaviest call OI777 · 778 · 779 · 759
Heaviest put OI740 · 735 · 750 · 745
Retail GEX estimate from SPY ETF options as a proxy for ES; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; SPY ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS ▸
- Acceptance above ON high 7628.75 puts PDH 7628.75 in question above.
- Rejection at 7628.75 leaves it as resistance, with 7568.5 and PDL 7552.25 below as support.
- Acceptance below ON low 7568.5 puts PDL 7552.25 in question below.
- Between 7568.5 and 7628.75, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
GC
CHOP
above EMA stack
upper third of range
Overnight range
4103 — 4144.8
PDH4144.8
PDL4081.3
Prior close4128.6
ATR15.26
EMA94116.32EMA204116.8EMA504117.06
OPTIONS / POSITIONING ▸
Exp. move (GLD)± 3.495 · 0.93%
Exp. move 1w± 9.6 · 2.55%
Gamma flip382.389
Net GEX (est.)$-3m · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall375
Put gamma wall375
Max pain375
P/C (OI)0.7792
P/C (vol)1.1223
Heaviest call OI500 · 392 · 383 · 384
Heaviest put OI350 · 341 · 375 · 370
Retail GEX estimate from GLD ETF options as a proxy for GC; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; GLD ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS ▸
- Acceptance above ON high 4144.8 puts PDH 4144.8 in question above.
- Rejection at 4144.8 leaves it as resistance, with 4103 and PDL 4081.3 below as support.
- Acceptance below ON low 4103 puts PDL 4081.3 in question below.
- Between 4103 and 4144.8, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
Congressional Trading
433 disclosures · 50d
STOCK Act disclosures · House, Senate
Net flow (est.)
-$1.51M
net selling (est.)
Purchases
249
$8.98M est.
Sales
183
$10.48M est.
Index-relevant net
-$364K
9 buys · 15 sells
Top tickers by disclosures
HUBB
10 filings · 10B/0S
$87K
AAPL
7 filings · 3B/4S
-$33K
LPLA
6 filings · 6B/0S
$48K
BEP
5 filings · 5B/0S
$65K
BIIB
5 filings · 4B/1S
$59K
ENTG
5 filings · 5B/0S
$40K
TDG
5 filings · 5B/0S
$40K
NVDA
4 filings · 0B/4S
-$391K
Recent notable disclosures
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE NVDA
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE NVDA
Tim Moore
· PURCHASE T
Daniel Meuser
· PURCHASE SPCX
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE AAPL
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE AAPL
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE NVDA
Sheldon Whitehouse
· PURCHASE COHR
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE ORCL
Tim Moore
· SALE DASH
Parsed STOCK Act disclosures (House + Senate), House, Senate chamber(s) with data in the last 50d. Disclosures LAG the actual trade by up to ~45 days (reporting window) — this is a map of what was FILED, not live positioning. Amount ranges are DISCLOSURE BUCKETS; all notional figures are midpoint ESTIMATES, not exact dollars. Descriptive only — no directional inference.
Catalyst Timeline
0 windows(nothing scheduled)
Material Filings
- AMZN 8-K (items 8.01, 9.01) — filed Jul 09
Overnight Digest
- Dow Jones Futures Loom Amid New U.S.-Iran Attacks; Nvidia, Micron, Sandisk Near Buy Points [Yahoo]
- Figure Technology (FIGR): Stocks Set to Explode in the Next 2 Years [Yahoo]
- Here Is Why Gerdau (GGB) Is One Of The Top NYSE Penny Stocks According To Hedge Funds [Yahoo]
- Comstock (LODE) Announces Delivery and Assembly of Unit Operations For Industry-Scale Facility [Yahoo]
- Accendra Health (ACH) is One of The 15 Best NYSE Penny Stocks According to Hedge Funds [Yahoo]
Sentiment Read
The tape carries a geopolitical overhang — fresh U.S.-Iran attacks lead the headlines — set against loose financial conditions and a positively sloped yield curve, so the macro backdrop and the news flow pull in different directions rather than one uniform mood. Single-stock attention centers on the chip complex (Nvidia, Micron, Sandisk), and Amazon has a fresh material-event disclosure on file. All of NQ, ES, and GC closed in the upper third of their prior-day ranges and each is tagged CHOP regime, and the overnight session compressed against the prior-day highs rather than resolving them: ES's overnight high sits exactly at PDH 7628.75, NQ's overnight high 30075 sits just under PDH 30076.75, and GC's overnight high matched PDH 4144.8. Gold's EMAs are stacked flat and on top of each other — 4116.32, 4116.8, 4117.06 — a coiled, decision-pending tape, while NQ holds above its EMA stack at 29985.28, 29920.13, and 29800.3 and ES holds above its stack at 7609.56, 7596.42, and 7576.92. ATRs of 105.7 on NQ, 16.14 on ES, and 15.26 on GC frame the size of a normal rotation in each.