The Setup
NQ the overnight range is 29557.5 to 29916.75, sitting entirely below PDH 30094 with PDC 29852.25 in the middle third of the prior day's range. Acceptance above ON high 29916.75 puts PDH 30094 in question above; rejection at 29916.75 leaves it as resistance, with ON low 29557.5 and PDL 29683.25 below as support. Acceptance below 29557.5 puts PDL 29683.25 in question. Between 29557.5 and 29916.75, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch. EMAs at 29744.87, 29809.06 and 29859.49 all sit inside the ON range, and round-number magnets rest at 29750, 30000 and 29500. ES: ON high 7595.5 and PDH 7602.25 sit close together, making that zone the single upside reference. Acceptance above 7595.5 puts PDH 7602.25 in question above; rejection at 7595.5 leaves it as resistance, with ON low 7563 and PDL 7538 below as support. Acceptance below 7563 puts PDL 7538 in question. Between 7563 and 7595.5, rangebound. PDC 7585.75 printed in the upper third of the prior day's range, EMAs cluster tightly at 7577.32, 7576.21 and 7565.21 inside the ON range, and magnets at 7500 below and 7750 above frame the wider map. GC: acceptance above ON high 4174.4 puts PDH 4215.9 in question above; rejection at 4174.4 leaves it as resistance, with ON low 4127.7 and PDL 4140.5 below as support. Acceptance below 4127.7 puts PDL 4140.5 in question. Between 4127.7 and 4174.4, rangebound. PDC 4168.5 sits near the top of the ON range, EMAs at 4148.38, 4156.67 and 4153.92 rest mid-range, and magnets at 4250 above with 4000 and 3750 further below mark the round-number map; the late-afternoon CFTC gold positioning report is the instrument-specific calendar item.
NQ
CHOP
middle third of range
Overnight range
29557.5 — 29916.8
PDH30094
PDL29683.2
Prior close29852.2
ATR105.34
EMA929744.9EMA2029809.1EMA5029859.5
OPTIONS / POSITIONING ▸
Exp. move (QQQ)± 13.86 · 1.95%
Exp. move 1w± 23.56 · 3.32%
Net GEX (est.)$96m · net long gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall712
Put gamma wall710
Max pain724
P/C (OI)1.6366
P/C (vol)0.9495
Heaviest call OI730 · 725 · 727 · 740
Heaviest put OI500 · 724 · 710 · 700
Retail GEX estimate from QQQ ETF options as a proxy for NQ; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; QQQ ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS ▸
- Acceptance above ON high 29916.75 puts PDH 30094 in question above.
- Rejection at 29916.75 leaves it as resistance, with 29557.5 and PDL 29683.25 below as support.
- Acceptance below ON low 29557.5 puts PDL 29683.25 in question below.
- Between 29557.5 and 29916.75, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
ES
CHOP
above EMA stack
upper third of range
Overnight range
7563 — 7595.5
PDH7602.25
PDL7538
Prior close7585.75
ATR11.68
EMA97577.32EMA207576.21EMA507565.21
OPTIONS / POSITIONING ▸
Exp. move (SPY)± 4 · 0.53%
Exp. move 1w± 9.51 · 1.27%
Gamma flip748.428
Net GEX (est.)$-571m · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall749
Put gamma wall748
Max pain749
P/C (OI)0.9497
P/C (vol)1.0238
Heaviest call OI753 · 751 · 755 · 760
Heaviest put OI750 · 745 · 748 · 747
Retail GEX estimate from SPY ETF options as a proxy for ES; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; SPY ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS ▸
- Acceptance above ON high 7595.5 puts PDH 7602.25 in question above.
- Rejection at 7595.5 leaves it as resistance, with 7563 and PDL 7538 below as support.
- Acceptance below ON low 7563 puts PDL 7538 in question below.
- Between 7563 and 7595.5, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
GC
CHOP
above EMA stack
middle third of range
Overnight range
4127.7 — 4174.4
PDH4215.9
PDL4140.5
Prior close4168.5
ATR13.01
EMA94148.38EMA204156.67EMA504153.92
OPTIONS / POSITIONING ▸
Exp. move (GLD)± 5.03 · 1.32%
Exp. move 1w± 8.73 · 2.29%
Gamma flip381
Net GEX (est.)$-200m · net short gamma (est.)
Call gamma wall382
Put gamma wall376
Max pain376
P/C (OI)0.7841
P/C (vol)0.5375
Heaviest call OI425 · 385 · 390 · 388
Heaviest put OI357 · 376 · 365 · 363
Retail GEX estimate from GLD ETF options as a proxy for GC; dealer short-call/long-put sign assumption; GLD ≠ index ≠ future — positioning map, not a measured dealer book.
SCENARIOS ▸
- Acceptance above ON high 4174.4 puts PDH 4215.9 in question above.
- Rejection at 4174.4 leaves it as resistance, with 4127.7 and PDL 4140.5 below as support.
- Acceptance below ON low 4127.7 puts PDL 4140.5 in question below.
- Between 4127.7 and 4174.4, rangebound — the ON extremes are the edges to watch.
Congressional Trading
397 disclosures · 50d
STOCK Act disclosures · House, Senate
as of 2026-07-07 · last 50 days
Net flow (est.)
-$1.83M
net selling (est.)
Purchases
224
$8.68M est.
Index-relevant net
-$267K
9 buys · 12 sells
Top tickers by disclosures
LPLA
6 filings · 6B/0S
$48K
T
5 filings · 4B/1S
$67K
HUBB
5 filings · 5B/0S
$47K
TDG
5 filings · 5B/0S
$40K
AAPL
5 filings · 3B/2S
$33K
BWXT
4 filings · 4B/0S
$81K
BIIB
4 filings · 4B/0S
$74K
AMD
4 filings · 4B/0S
$32K
Recent notable disclosures
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE NVDA
$100,001 - $250,000 · Senate · disc. 2026-06-02
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE NVDA
$100,001 - $250,000 · Senate · disc. 2026-06-02
Tim Moore
· PURCHASE T
$50,001 - $100,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-04
Daniel Meuser
· PURCHASE SPCX
$15,001 - $50,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-16
Tim Moore
· SALE T
$15,001 - $50,000 · House · disc. 2026-05-21
Sheldon Whitehouse
· SALE ORCL
$15,001 - $50,000 · Senate · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer
· SALE ABBV
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer
· PURCHASE AMD
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer
· PURCHASE ADI
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Josh Gottheimer
· PURCHASE FN
$1,001 - $15,000 · House · disc. 2026-06-02
Parsed STOCK Act disclosures (House + Senate), House, Senate chamber(s) with data in the last 50d. Disclosures LAG the actual trade by up to ~45 days (reporting window) — this is a map of what was FILED, not live positioning. Amount ranges are DISCLOSURE BUCKETS; all notional figures are midpoint ESTIMATES, not exact dollars. Descriptive only — no directional inference.
Catalyst Timeline
5 windows
10:45 BST
S&P Global Composite PMI
+1 more at this time
BLACKOUT 10:40–10:50
11:00 BST
CB Employment Trends IndexTIER-1
+5 more at this time
BLACKOUT 10:55–11:05
12:00 BST
Fed Waller SpeaksTIER-1
BLACKOUT 11:55–12:05
12:30 BST
3-Month Bill Auction
+1 more at this time
BLACKOUT 12:25–12:35
16:30 BST
CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions
+10 more at this time
BLACKOUT 16:25–16:35
Material Filings
- GOOGL: 7 Form-4 insider filing(s)
- META: 1 Form-4 insider filing(s)
- NVDA: 1 Form-4 insider filing(s)
Overnight Digest
- Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq slip after Samsung results spark chip sell-off [Yahoo]
- SpaceX Joins Nasdaq 100 Riding A Wave Of Buy Ratings [Yahoo]
- Tech stocks live: Chip stocks sell off, SpaceX joins Nasdaq-100 [Yahoo]
- Daily Spotlight: SpaceX Helps IPO Market Rebound [Yahoo]
- Rivian stock down on 75M share sale, pre-announces Q2 revenue [Yahoo]
Sentiment Read
Overnight tone is cautious on tech: chip names sold off after Samsung's results, and the index-composition story of the session is SpaceX joining the Nasdaq 100 — reshuffle and IPO-rebound headlines rather than macro ones. Rivian's share sale and pre-announcement add to the single-name churn, and insider filings landed in GOOGL, META and NVDA. All instruments carry a CHOP regime tag, with ATR readings of 105.34 on NQ, 11.68 on ES and 13.01 on GC, so the tape enters the session compressed and two-sided. Macro flags read as a positive yield-curve signal alongside loose financial conditions per NFCI. The calendar stacks event risk through the London late morning — S&P Global services and composite PMIs, then the full ISM services suite with its prices and employment components, then a Fed Waller appearance at midday — followed by bill auctions and, late in the afternoon, the CFTC positioning reports across equity indices and metals, each release bracketed by a data blackout window.